Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.324142 0.383580 0.449884 0.529189 0.621324 0.724845 0.849826
2024-10-27 0.243915 0.325214 0.426105 0.559854 0.731779 0.944547 1.226923
2024-11-03 0.181461 0.270591 0.392711 0.570601 0.821109 1.158932 1.646111
2024-11-10 0.144933 0.239525 0.381355 0.606212 0.949532 1.448650 2.222075
2024-11-17 0.113062 0.205913 0.357400 0.617144 1.044155 1.708555 2.806472
2024-11-24 0.085655 0.171248 0.322578 0.601917 1.093844 1.908625 3.336418
2024-12-01 0.061557 0.134953 0.275352 0.553731 1.077401 1.997806 3.702333
2024-12-08 0.049338 0.117536 0.257511 0.553191 1.142512 2.233108 4.351355
2024-12-15 0.038697 0.100021 0.234817 0.537502 1.175073 2.414075 4.931000
2024-12-22 0.029220 0.081989 0.206208 0.502539 1.161523 2.504572 5.353879
2024-12-29 0.024748 0.074643 0.199334 0.512786 1.243081 2.793092 6.204668
2025-01-05 0.021018 0.067993 0.192349 0.521010 1.321338 3.086220 7.107041
2025-01-12 0.018356 0.063795 0.191331 0.545844 1.448164 3.515099 8.387548
2025-01-19 0.016012 0.059785 0.189995 0.570409 1.581494 3.984883 9.840768
2025-01-26 0.013443 0.054083 0.182447 0.577098 1.673273 4.378309 11.192031
2025-02-02 0.012015 0.051734 0.184172 0.610395 1.841627 4.982278 13.128467
2025-02-09 0.010225 0.047297 0.178138 0.619756 1.948289 5.454626 14.826397
2025-02-16 0.008257 0.041237 0.164851 0.603506 1.980271 5.744845 16.123964
2025-02-23 0.006176 0.033579 0.143325 0.554665 1.906418 5.746316 16.691365
2025-03-02 0.005189 0.030311 0.136659 0.553801 1.977625 6.150880 18.373985
2025-03-09 0.004205 0.026502 0.126534 0.537908 1.998194 6.418339 19.730126
2025-03-16 0.003232 0.022124 0.112371 0.502813 1.947918 6.473865 20.510631
2025-03-23 0.002821 0.020632 0.110091 0.513000 2.054146 7.011668 22.743705